Abstract
Study design
Prospective study.
Objective
To determine the 2-year risk of revision surgery and all-cause mortality after complex spine surgery, and to assess if prospectively registered adverse events (AE) could predict either outcome.
Summary of background data
Revision surgery and mortality are serious complications to spine surgery. Previous studies of frequency have mainly been retrospective and few studies have employed competing risk survival analyses. In addition, assessment of predictors has focused on preoperative patient characteristics. The effect of perioperative AEs on revision and all-cause mortality risks are not fully understood.
Methods
Between January 1 and December 31, 2013, we prospectively included all patients undergoing complex spine surgery at a single, tertiary institution. Complex spine surgery was defined as conditions deemed too complicated for surgery at a secondary institute, or patients with severe comorbidities requiring multidisciplinary observation and treatment. AEs were registered using the Spine Adverse Event Severity system and patients were followed for minimum 2 years regarding revision surgery and all-cause mortality. Incidences were estimated using competing risk survival analyses and correlation between AEs and either outcome was assessed using proportional odds models.
Results
We included a complete and consecutive cohort of 679 adult and pediatric patients. Demographics, surgical data, AEs, and events of revision or all-cause mortality were registered. The cumulative incidence of 2-year all-cause revision was 19% (16–22%) and all-cause mortality was 15% (12–18%). Deformity surgery was the surgical category with highest incidence of revision and the highest incidence of all-cause mortality was seen in the tumor group. Across surgical categories, cumulative incidences of 2-year revision ranged between 11% (tumor) and 33% (deformity), whilst 2-year all-cause mortality ranged between 3% (deformity) and 33% (tumor). We found that major intraoperative AEs were associated to increased odds of revision. Deep wound infection was associated to increased odds of all-cause mortality.
Conclusions
We report the cumulative incidences of revision surgery and all-cause mortality following complex spine surgery. We found higher incidences of revision compared to previous retrospective studies. Prospectively registered AEs were correlated to increased odds of revision surgery and all-cause mortality. These results may serve as reference for future interventional studies and aid in identifying at-risk patients.
Level of evidence
I.
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TJB: substantial contributions to the conception or design of the work, substantial contributions to the acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data, revising the work critically for important intellectual content, final approval of the version to be published. SK: substantial contributions to the conception or design of the work, substantial contributions to the analysis and interpretation of data, revising the work critically for important intellectual content, final approval of the version to be published. MDS: substantial contributions to the conception or design of the work, revising the work critically for important intellectual content, final approval of the version to be published. MG: substantial contributions to the conception or design of the work, revising the work critically for important intellectual content, final approval of the version to be published. JS: substantial contributions to the conception or design of the work, revising the work critically for important intellectual content, final approval of the version to be published. BD: substantial contributions to the conception or design of the work, revising the work critically for important intellectual content, final approval of the version to be published.
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BD (consulting fees from K2M outside of the submitted work), MG (institutional grants from K2M and Medtronic outside of the submitted work), JS (research support from Medtronic; Institutional grants form Nserc and Medtronic; Fellowship support from Medtronic and Depuy Synthes all outside the submitted work), the remaining authors report no conflicts of interest.
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Bari, T.J., Karstensen, S., Sørensen, M.D. et al. Revision surgery and mortality following complex spine surgery: 2-year follow-up in a prospective cohort of 679 patients using the Spine AdVerse Event Severity (SAVES) system. Spine Deform 8, 1341–1351 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s43390-020-00164-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s43390-020-00164-8