Table 2

Brier scores for the European Spine Study Group calculator.

PredictedObservedBrier Score
Likelihood of improvement in ODI89.2%79.2%0.0013
Likelihood of improvement in SRS-22 mental health71.1%66.7%0.0019
Likelihood of improvement in SRS-22 subtotal87.6%83.3%0.0018
Major complication at 2 y53.4%34.8%0.034
  • Abbreviations: ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; SRS, Scoliosis Research Society.