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Research ArticleTumor

Preoperative Predictors of Survival in Patients With Spinal Metastatic Disease

Stephen P. Miranda, Patricia Zadnik Sullivan, Ahmed Albayar, Ashwin G. Ramayya, Rachel Blue, Zarina S. Ali, Neil Malhotra, Paul Marcotte, Jang Yoon, Comron Saifi, William C. Welch, James Schuster and Ali K. Ozturk
International Journal of Spine Surgery March 2023, 8444; DOI: https://doi.org/10.14444/8444
Stephen P. Miranda
1 Department of Neurosurgery, Hospital of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Patricia Zadnik Sullivan
1 Department of Neurosurgery, Hospital of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Ahmed Albayar
1 Department of Neurosurgery, Hospital of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Ashwin G. Ramayya
1 Department of Neurosurgery, Hospital of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Rachel Blue
1 Department of Neurosurgery, Hospital of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Zarina S. Ali
2 Department of Neurosurgery, Pennsylvania Hospital, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Neil Malhotra
1 Department of Neurosurgery, Hospital of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Paul Marcotte
1 Department of Neurosurgery, Hospital of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Jang Yoon
1 Department of Neurosurgery, Hospital of University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD, MSᴄ
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Comron Saifi
3 Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Pennsylvania Hospital, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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William C. Welch
2 Department of Neurosurgery, Pennsylvania Hospital, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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James Schuster
4 Department of Neurosurgery, Penn Presbyterian Hospital, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD, PʜD
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Ali K. Ozturk
2 Department of Neurosurgery, Pennsylvania Hospital, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
MD
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Tables

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    Table 1

    Surgical complications and patient mortality (N = 104).

    Complications n (%)
    Surgical complications
     Return to the operating room (within 30 d)8 (7.7%)
     Infection2 (1.9%)
     Hematoma3 (2.9%)
     Wound dehiscence (within 30 d)2 (1.9%)
    Deaths55 (52.9%)
    Postoperative survival, d, median (IQR)103 (41.5–264.5)
    Cases that underwent local preoperative radiation33 (31.7%)
    • Note: Data presented as n (%) except where otherwise indicated.

    • IQR, interquartile range.

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    Table 2

    Preoperative performance status and health markers.

    Karnofsky Performance Status Score (%) n (%)Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Grade n (%)American Society of Anesthesiologists Score n (%)
    303 (3.3%)012 (17.4%)10
    4010 (11.1%)136 (52.2%)213 (17.3%)
    5011 (12.2%)214 (20.3%)359 (78.7%)
    608 (8.9%)34 (5.8%)43 (4%)
    7023 (25.6%)43 (4.3%)
    8019 (21.1%)
    9015 (16.7%)
    1001 (1.1%)
    Total906975
    • View popup
    Table 3

    Preoperative predictors of time to death in patients with spinal metastatic disease.

    Radiation StatusNo PRPR
    Number of cases (% of total)71 (68.3%)33 (31.7%)
    Age, y, mean (range)59.9 (87.3–35.8)63 (31.6–85.7)
    Body mass index, mean (range)27.6 (16.8–42.9)26.2 (16–37.8)
    Surgical complications (infection, wound hematoma, and dehiscence), n (%)8 (11.3%)0
    Deaths, n (%)31 (44%)24 (73%)
    Time to death, d, mean (range)178.5 (2–897)218.5 (3–889)
    Hazard ratio 1.84
    P value 0.034
    SINSStable (<13)Unstable (≥13)
    Number of cases (% of total)70 (67%)34 (33%)
    Deaths, n (%)32 (46%)23 (94%)
    Time to death, d, mean (range)219.7 (14–889)162.9 (2–897)
    Hazard ratio1.11
    P value0.024
    MelanomaTotal
    Number of cases (% of total)5 (4.8%)
    Deaths, n (%)5 (100%)
    Time to death, d, mean (range)194.5 (24–218)
    Hazard ratio3.6
    P value0.010
    • Note: We performed multivariate survival analysis using Cox proportional hazards model while accounting for the following variables, which demonstrated significance on univariate analysis (P < 0.05): SINS score, local radiation before surgery, presence of liver metastasis, primary melanoma, and primary genitourinary cancer.

    • PR, preoperative radiation; SINS, spine instability neoplastic score.

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International Journal of Spine Surgery: 19 (S2)
International Journal of Spine Surgery
Vol. 19, Issue S2
1 Apr 2025
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Preoperative Predictors of Survival in Patients With Spinal Metastatic Disease
Stephen P. Miranda, Patricia Zadnik Sullivan, Ahmed Albayar, Ashwin G. Ramayya, Rachel Blue, Zarina S. Ali, Neil Malhotra, Paul Marcotte, Jang Yoon, Comron Saifi, William C. Welch, James Schuster, Ali K. Ozturk
International Journal of Spine Surgery Mar 2023, 8444; DOI: 10.14444/8444

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Preoperative Predictors of Survival in Patients With Spinal Metastatic Disease
Stephen P. Miranda, Patricia Zadnik Sullivan, Ahmed Albayar, Ashwin G. Ramayya, Rachel Blue, Zarina S. Ali, Neil Malhotra, Paul Marcotte, Jang Yoon, Comron Saifi, William C. Welch, James Schuster, Ali K. Ozturk
International Journal of Spine Surgery Mar 2023, 8444; DOI: 10.14444/8444
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Keywords

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  • mortality risk
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